Topbuild Corp Stock Performance

BLD Stock  USD 480.56  16.44  3.54%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Topbuild Corp holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 1.73, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Topbuild Corp will likely underperform. Please check Topbuild Corp's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Topbuild Corp's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Topbuild Corp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain essential indicators, Topbuild Corp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.54
Five Day Return
(0.82)
Year To Date Return
11.38
Ten Year Return
1.7 K
All Time Return
K
1
Disposition of 1000 shares by Luis Machado of Topbuild Corp at 450.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
The Toro Company, Custom Truck One Source, U-Haul, Kadant, and TopBuild Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
12/10/2025
3
TopBuild Quite Acquisitive, But Organic Growth Remains Lackluster - Seeking Alpha
12/29/2025
4
Trevi Therapeutics Buy Rating Reiterated at D. Boral Capital
01/08/2026
5
D. Boral Capital Reiterates Buy Rating for Clene
01/09/2026
6
Exascale Labs Inc. to Combine with D. Boral ARC Acquisition I Corp. to Become Publicly Listed Company
01/12/2026
7
HCMLY vs. BLD Which Stock Is the Better Value Option
01/14/2026
8
Assessing TopBuild Valuation After Strong MultiYear Shareholder Returns
01/16/2026
9
TopBuild to Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Results on Thursday, February 26
01/27/2026
10
The 25-year-old tasked with fixing billionaire fathers mess enlists help of Joe Hockey
01/28/2026
11
Gypsum Board Suspended Ceilings Market Report 2026-2030 2035 Featuring Knauf Gips, USG Corp., Boral, Armstrong World Industries, Taishan Gypsum Co. and More
01/29/2026
12
TopBuild Acquires Applied Coatings and Upstate Spray Foam
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow848.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-203.5 M

Topbuild Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  40,571  in Topbuild Corp on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,485  from holding Topbuild Corp or generate 18.45% return on investment over 90 days. Topbuild Corp is generating 0.3102% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3794% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Topbuild, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Topbuild Corp is expected to generate 3.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Topbuild Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Topbuild Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 480.56 90 days 480.56 
about 7.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Topbuild Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.77 (This Topbuild Corp probability density function shows the probability of Topbuild Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.73 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Topbuild Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Topbuild Corp has an alpha of 0.103, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Topbuild Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Topbuild Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Topbuild Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
478.20480.56482.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
432.50540.96543.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
435.25437.61439.97
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
447.54491.80545.90
Details

Topbuild Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Topbuild Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Topbuild Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Topbuild Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Topbuild Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.73
σ
Overall volatility
26.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Topbuild Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Topbuild Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Topbuild Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: TopBuild Acquires Applied Coatings and Upstate Spray Foam

Topbuild Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Topbuild Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Topbuild Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Topbuild Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments400.3 M

Topbuild Corp Fundamentals Growth

Topbuild Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Topbuild Corp, and Topbuild Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Topbuild Stock performance.

About Topbuild Corp Performance

By analyzing Topbuild Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Topbuild Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Topbuild Corp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Topbuild Corp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 36.06  28.69 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.27  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.27 

Things to note about Topbuild Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Topbuild Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Topbuild Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: TopBuild Acquires Applied Coatings and Upstate Spray Foam
Evaluating Topbuild Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Topbuild Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Topbuild Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Topbuild Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Topbuild Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Topbuild Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Topbuild Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Topbuild Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Topbuild Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Topbuild Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Topbuild Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Topbuild Stock analysis

When running Topbuild Corp's price analysis, check to measure Topbuild Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topbuild Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Topbuild Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topbuild Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topbuild Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments